The Crisis of Liberal Democracy
1. The Crisis of Liberal Democracy Democracy can be measured by different factors, such as fair elections, freedom of expression, and deliberation. The graph below from the V-Dem report shows an increase of countries declining in respect to these factors compared to those improving. Out of all of the factors, “deliberation is the only component worsening in both panels. It is declining in 19 countries in 2023, compared to 14 in 2013, while improving in eleven countries both in 2013 and 2023. The deliberative component measures respect for opposition, pluralism, and counterarguments with several different indicators and is central to the democratic process”. Freedom House found that attacks on pluralism were among the main reasons for the decline in democracy. They define pluralism as “the peaceful coexistence of people with different political ideas, religions, or ethnic identities”.
It is true that the global averages could be weighed down by some specific nondemocratic countries. However, in the increasingly globalized landscape we are living in, countries are now more economically interdependent than ever. According to the Wall Street Journal, the initiative of “change through trade”, which aimed to increase shared values through international trade, actually benefited countries such as China and Russia, and allowed them to become even more “radical and undemocratic”, while making western democracies more economically dependent on these nondemocratic countries (Dopfner, 2023). Looking specifically at democracy in Spain, experts have said that “Spain may well be the most impressively democratic major country in mainland Europe” (Reid, cited by Varadarajan, 2023). Although the political situation is not without its struggles, Reid says that “Spain's politics are no more unkempt than the present Western norm”, and Freedom House classified it as “free”, with a score of 90/100 in their “Freedom in the World” report of 2024. The ideals at the core of democracy remain popular in Spain and the rest of Western Europe, making them part of the global median of 66% who believe that direct democracy is a good way to govern. These claims of freedom and democracy are not however in line with the perception of Spanish citizens, because another study by Pew Research Center found that large majorities in Spain are dissatisfied with how democracy is working in their country. This makes it part of the 51% of the 27 countries they polled who are dissatisfied with the state of democracy in their country, compared to 45% who are satisfied. Dissatisfaction with democracy is influenced by factors such as people’s perceptions of their politicians and the economic situation in the country, as well as others such as partisanship, because those who support parties that are not currently in power are more likely to say they are dissatisfied with democracy in their country. This last factor is important to note in the increasingly polarized political landscape of the world. Another factor they cited as important to satisfaction with democracy is the freedom of speech. “In every nation studied, dissatisfaction with democracy is more common among people who say the statement ‘the rights of people to express their views in public are protected’ does not describe their country well.” Scholars such as Little and Meng insist that democracy should be measured based on quantifiable factors, which are not susceptible to individual bias. They state that studies that claim that the state of democracy rely too much on subjective indicators, such as experts using their own judgment to rate the extent to which an election was free and fair (Little & Meng, in Willick, 2024). 2. The Risks of Disinformation The World Economic Forum (WEF) ranked misinformation and disinformation as no. 1 in their 2024 Global Risk Report. This risk rose to the top of the rankings because of the increase in AI generated false information. Their survey of 1,500 policy makers and industry leaders found that fake news written and being spread by AI was the biggest short-term risk to the global economy. AI was also labeled as an “emerging risk” by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (Finra) (Vynck & Lynch, 2024). Policy makers are struggling to keep up with the regulation of the rapid development of technology, and to support innovation while at the same time reduce their potential harm (Ye Hee Lee, 2023). A 2022 study by UTECA and the University of Navarra found that 95,8% of Spaniards believe that disinformation is a problem in current society. In the survey they conducted, 72,1% of Spaniards recognized that they had believed a message or video that turned out to be false once. The risk of disinformation is one that is rapidly growing, especially in recent years. The same study found that 83,3% of the Spanish population believes that the spread of disinformation has increased first during the pandemic, and again with the war in Ukraine. Although media companies are adapting to create more content online, and it appears that digital media is going to be the future of the industry, people seem to find more credibility in traditional media. In the study, 80,9% of Spaniards agree that television, radio, and print media provide the best guarantee against the proliferation of disinformation. This does not mean that the diversity of new media sources is only viewed negatively however, as seen in the statistic that 86,6% of Spaniards believe that thanks to the diversity of news programmes, they have a more pluralistic view of society. Misinformation and disinformation threaten “the cohesion of societies”, by increasing distrust, and which could lead to increasing polarization. The WEF considers societal polarization and misinformation and disinformation to be the two most closely linked risks in their framework, stating that they have the largest potential to amplify each other compared to other risks. The study conducted by UTECA and UNAV found that 91% of Spaniards believe that disinformation is a threat to democracy and the stability of a country. When people are not sure what information is true, they do not know what institutions they can trust. This is evident in the results of the 2024 Edelman Trust Barometer, which reports that businesses are seen as the only trustworthy institution. This study links trust to competence and ethics, and it found that government is seen as far less competent and ethical than business. It was ranked as 52 points less competent and 32 points less ethical. This is in line with other studies on this topic, such as one conducted by the Pew Research Center which found that “only 17% of Americans trust officials in power in Washington to do the right thing” (Pew cited by Eddy in the NYT, 2023). It is worth noting however, that although business is the most trusted as an institution, business leaders are not seen as trustworthy. The Trust Barometer shows that 61% of people worry that business leaders are “purposely trying to mislead people by saying things they know are false or gross exaggerations”. This shows that the majority believe that business leaders could actually be contributing to disinformation. However, they are still perceived as better than government leaders (63%) and journalists (64%) in this indicator. Despite this apparent distrust in business leaders, there are high expectations for them in terms of information and ethics, and a demand for them to start playing a bigger role in society. According to the same Edelman report, 62% of employees expect their CEOs to manage changes occurring in society, not just those occurring in their business. Employees believe it is important that their CEOs speak publicly about issues such as “job skills of the future” (82%), “ethical use of technology” (79%) and “automation impact on jobs” (78%). This is especially evident in younger generations. Businesses are starting to realize their role as a “collective stabilizing force in helping ensure that the norms of democracy are upheld” (Levine cited by Eddy, 2023). Disinformation can also be used as a tool for control in the political sphere. The decline of liberal democracy and the weakening of checks and balances in governments could also be considered a factor that could amplify disinformation in pursuit of political agendas (WEF, 2024). The WEF stated that it is especially a risk in 2024 because of the threat it poses in the many elections set to take place this year worldwide, which makes disinformation both a consequence and cause for the decline in democracy. 3. The Risks of Polarization 4. Technological Risks 5. Impact on Business